HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
Issue Date: 358 PM EST SUN NOV 29 2009
Expiration: 500 AM CST MON NOV 30 2009
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...
SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...AND THE FLORIDA BIG BEND
AND PANHANDLE...AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.
.DAY ONE...TONIGHT...
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...
A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP OVER THE GULF
OF MEXICO EARLY THIS WEEK AND TRACK NORTHEAST INTO THE
SOUTHEASTERN STATES BY WEDNESDAY. WHILE THE EXACT STRENGTH AND
TRACK OF THE SYSTEM WILL DETERMINE THE SEVERITY OF THE
IMPACT...THERE ARE MULTIPLE CONCERNS AS THIS SYSTEM APPROACHES THE
TRI-STATE AREA. A SWATH OF VERY HEAVY RAIN IS ANTICIPATED TO
ACCOMPANY THIS SYSTEM. RAINFALL TOTALS THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT
COULD REACH 5 OR MORE INCHES IN SOME AREAS. AT THIS TIME THE
LOCATION OF HEAVIEST RAINFALL IS MOST LIKELY TO FALL ACROSS THE
WESTERN HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA. IN ADDITION VERY STRONG
SOUTHERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE COASTAL WATERS BEGINNING
LATE TUESDAY AND CONTINUING INTO WEDNESDAY. AT LEAST HIGH END
ADVISORY LEVEL WINDS ARE ANTICIPATED WITH THE GALE FORCE WINDS NOT
OUT OF THE QUESTION. THESE WINDS WILL CREATE VERY HAZARDOUS
MARINE CONDITIONS...AS WELL AS THE POSSIBILITY OF HIGH SURF...LIFE
THREATENING RIP CURRENTS...BEACH EROSION...AND COASTAL FLOODING.
THE EXACT TRACK AND STRENGTH OF THE LOW WILL DETERMINE THE EXTENT
OF THE COASTAL FLOODING THREAT. HOWEVER...STORM TIDES OF 4 TO 6
FEET ARE CERTAINLY POSSIBLE FROM WAKULLA COUNTY EASTWARD DURING
THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE BOTH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND WEDNESDAY
NIGHT. STORM TIDES OF 2 TO 4 FEET WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM FRANKLIN
COUNTY WESTWARD. WHILE STORM TIDES MAY NOT BE AS HIGH ALONG THE
PANHANDLE COASTLINE...LARGE AND BATTERING SURF IS POSSIBLE...WHICH
MAY RESULT IN BEACH EROSION AND WASH OUT VULNERABLE COASTAL
ROADWAYS.
AS THE LOW PRESSURE AREA APPROACHES AND THEN MOVES NORTH OF THE
FORECAST AREA ON WEDNESDAY...A MODESTLY UNSTABLE AIR MASS IS
ANTICIPATED TO MOVE INLAND. THIS INSTABILITY WILL COMBINED WITH
STRONG WINDS SHEAR TO PROMOTE THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SQUALL LINE OF
STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE
WINDS...LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL ALL BE POSSIBLE
WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS SQUALL LINE SHOULD EXIT EAST OF THE
REGION DURING WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
IN THE WAKE OF THIS STORM...RIVER FLOODING MAY BECOME A CONCERN
OVER PORTIONS OF THE REGION DUE TO RUNOFF FROM ANY EXCESSIVE
RAINFALL.
ALL INTERESTS IN THE REGION SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECASTS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE REGARDING THIS
POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS SYSTEM.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH AT LEAST MONDAY.
DEPENDING ON THE EVOLUTION OF THE GULF LOW THIS WEEK...SPOTTER
ACTIVATION MAY BECOME NECESSARY TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WEATHER.GOV...THEN CLICK ON YOUR AREA
OF INTEREST ON THE NATIONAL MAP.
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