HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
Issue Date: 545 AM EST MON NOV 30 2009
Expiration: 500 AM CST WED DEC 01 2010
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...
SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...AND THE FLORIDA BIG BEND
AND PANHANDLE...AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE IN FROM THE WEST LATER TODAY BRINGING A
CHANCE FOR SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...
A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP OVER THE GULF
OF MEXICO TUESDAY AND TRACK NORTHEAST INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN
STATES BY WEDNESDAY. WHILE THE EXACT STRENGTH AND TRACK OF THE
SYSTEM WILL DETERMINE THE SEVERITY OF THE IMPACT...THERE ARE
MULTIPLE CONCERNS AS THIS SYSTEM APPROACHES THE TRI-STATE AREA. A
SWATH OF VERY HEAVY RAIN IS ANTICIPATED TO ACCOMPANY THIS SYSTEM.
RAINFALL TOTALS THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT COULD REACH 6 OR MORE
INCHES IN SOME AREAS. AT THIS TIME THE LOCATION OF HEAVIEST
RAINFALL IS MOST LIKELY TO FALL ACROSS THE WESTERN HALF OF THE
FORECAST AREA. IN ADDITION VERY STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS ARE
EXPECTED OVER THE COASTAL WATERS BEGINNING LATE TUESDAY AND
CONTINUING INTO WEDNESDAY. AS A RESULT A GALE WATCH HAS BEEN
ISSUED FOR THIS TIME PERIOD. THESE WINDS WILL CREATE VERY
HAZARDOUS MARINE CONDITIONS...AS WELL AS THE POSSIBILITY OF HIGH
SURF...LIFE THREATENING RIP CURRENTS...BEACH EROSION...AND COASTAL
FLOODING.
THE EXACT TRACK AND STRENGTH OF THE LOW WILL DETERMINE THE EXTENT
OF THE COASTAL FLOODING THREAT. HOWEVER...STORM TIDES OF 4 TO 7 FEET
ARE CERTAINLY POSSIBLE FROM WAKULLA COUNTY EASTWARD DURING THE
TIMES OF HIGH TIDE BOTH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
STORM TIDES OF 3 TO 4 FEET WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM FRANKLIN COUNTY
WESTWARD. WHILE STORM TIDES MAY NOT BE AS HIGH ALONG THE PANHANDLE
COASTLINE...LARGE AND BATTERING SURF IS POSSIBLE...WHICH MAY
RESULT IN BEACH EROSION AND WASH OUT VULNERABLE COASTAL ROADWAYS.
AS THE LOW PRESSURE AREA APPROACHES AND THEN MOVES NORTH OF THE
FORECAST AREA ON WEDNESDAY...A MODESTLY UNSTABLE AIR MASS IS
ANTICIPATED TO MOVE INLAND. THIS INSTABILITY WILL COMBINE WITH
STRONG WINDS SHEAR TO PROMOTE THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SQUALL LINE OF
STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE
WINDS...LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL ALL BE POSSIBLE
WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS SQUALL LINE SHOULD EXIT EAST OF THE
REGION DURING WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
IN THE WAKE OF THIS STORM...RIVER FLOODING MAY BECOME A CONCERN
OVER PORTIONS OF THE REGION DUE TO RUNOFF FROM ANY EXCESSIVE
RAINFALL.
ALL INTERESTS IN THE REGION SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECASTS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE REGARDING THIS
POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS SYSTEM.
IN THE WAKE OF THIS SYSTEM ON FRIDAY...A MUCH COOLER AIRMASS WILL
ARRIVE WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR FREEZING TEMPERATURES BY SATURDAY
MORNING ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY BUT WILL BECOME LIKELY
LATE TUESDAY NIGHT AND INTO WEDNESDAY.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WEATHER.GOV...THEN CLICK ON YOUR AREA
OF INTEREST ON THE NATIONAL MAP.
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