HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
Issue Date: 509 AM CST TUE DEC 8 2009
Expiration: 500 AM CST WED DEC 09 2009
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...THE COASTAL WATERS OF ALABAMA AND
NORTHWEST FLORIDA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
A LARGE ARE OF RAIN HAS DEVELOPED OVER THE REGION THIS MORNING TO
THE NORTH A DEVELOPING WARM FRONT ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF OF
MEXICO. SOME OF THIS RAINFALL WILL BE LOCALLY HEAVY AND MAY RESULT
IN SOME MINOR FLOODING IN LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS...
ESPECIALLY ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTHWEST
ALABAMA.
A WARM FRONT WILL LIFT NORTH ACROSS THE AREA TODAY...MOVING NORTH OF
THE REGION BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON. THE AIRMASS TO THE SOUTH OF THE
FRONT WILL BECOMING INCREASING WARM AND MARGINALLY UNSTABLE. WHILE
THE WIDESPREAD RAINFALL WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTH ALONG WITH THE WARM
FRONT...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. WHILE WIND ENERGY IN
THE ATMOSPHERE IS SUPPORTIVE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS... LIMITED
AMOUNTS OF INSTABILITY AND THE LACK OF A SIGNIFICANT UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCE WILL LIMIT THE SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL ALONG THE
NORTHERN GULF COAST. HOWEVER...THERE IS STILL A SLIGHT RISK FOR A
FEW STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS OVER THE AREA THIS EVENING THROUGH THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS. IF SEVERE STORMS DO MATERIALIZE...THEY WOULD BE
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WIND GUSTS OF 60 MPH AND PERHAPS AN
ISOLATED TORNADO. STAY TUNED FOR UPDATES ON THIS DEVELOPING WEATHER
SYSTEM AS ANY INCREASE IN INSTABILITY WILL RESULT IN A MORE
SUBSTANTIAL SEVERE WEATHER THREAT.
A STRONG ONSHORE FLOW WILL DEVELOP OVER THE MARINE AREA TODAY AS THE
WARM FRONT MOVES NORTH. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY
THE STRONG ONSHORE FLOW WILL DIMINISH BY MIDDAY WEDNESDAY AS A COLD
FRONT MOVES THROUGH. HOWEVER...A STRONG OFFSHORE FLOW WILL DEVELOP
BY LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT. STRONG WINDS WILL
PERSIST OVER THE GULF WATERS THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. THESE
WINDS WILL POSE A HAZARD TO SMALL CRAFT.
ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP OVER THE WESTERN GULF ON
FRIDAY AND TRACK ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF LATE FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY.
THERE WILL BE THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WITH
THIS SYSTEM...WHICH COULD RESULT IN MINOR FLOODING ISSUES GIVEN THE
SATURATED GROUND CONDITIONS OVER MUCH OF THE AREA.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT MAY BE
REQUIRED TONIGHT.
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