HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
Warning Issue Date: 851 PM CST MON NOV 30 2009
RIVER FLOOD OUTLOOK FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH ALABAMA AND
THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...
MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL THAT IS FORECAST OVER SOUTH ALABAMA AND THE
FLORIDA PANHANDLE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS WILL QUICKLY RUN OFF ALREADY
SATURATED SOILS. WIDESPREAD BASIN-AVERAGED RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES
WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 7 INCHES MAY CAUSE RIVERS
AND STREAMS TO RISE TO LEVELS THAT RESULT IN FLOODING.
THIS RIVER FLOOD OUTLOOK IS IN EFFECT DUE TO THE POTENTIAL FOR...
- MINOR FLOODING ON THE YELLOW RIVER NEAR MILLIGAN
- MINOR FLOODING ON THE CONECUH RIVER NEAR BREWTON
- MINOR FLOODING ON THE MURDER CREEK NEAR BREWTON
- MINOR FLOODING ON THE ESCAMBIA RIVER NEAR CENTURY
- MODERATE FLOODING ON THE SHOAL RIVER NEAR CRESTVIEW
- MINOR FLOODING ON THE BLACKWATER RIVER NEAR BAKER
- MINOR FLOODING ON THE BIG COLDWATER CREEK NEAR MILTON
- MINOR FLOODING ON THE PERDIDO RIVER NEAR BARRINEAU PARK
- MODERATE FLOODING ON THE STYX RIVER NEAR ELSANOR
- MINOR FLOODING ON THE FISH RIVER NEAR SILVERHILL
A RIVER FLOOD OUTLOOK MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR RIVER
FLOODING...BUT IT IS NOT IMMINENT. FORECAST RAINFALL MAY CAUSE
RIVERS AND STREAMS TO RISE TO CRITICAL STAGES. PERSONS WITH
INTERESTS ALONG THE AREAS MENTIONED ABOVE SHOULD REMAIN INFORMED
OF THE LATEST WEATHER AND RIVER INFORMATION AND BE PREPARED TO
TAKE ACTION AS NECESSARY. PLEASE REFER TO NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE RIVER FLOOD WARNINGS AND STATEMENTS FOR THE LATEST
INFORMATION IN YOUR AREA.
$$
FLOOD WARNING
Warning Issue Date: 725 PM CST TUE DEC 01 2009
...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE SHOAL RIVER NEAR CRESTVIEW
* FROM TOMORROW LATE EVENING UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING
* AT 6PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.8 FEET
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW LATE EVENING AND CONTINUE TO
RISE TO NEAR 13.5 FEET BY THURSDAY EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD
STAGE BY SUNDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.
$$
FLOOD WARNING
Warning Issue Date: 726 PM CST TUE DEC 01 2009
...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES
FOR
THE BLACKWATER RIVER NEAR BAKER
* FROM TOMORROW EVENING UNTIL LATE FRIDAY NIGHT
* AT 7PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 2.9 FEET
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW EVENING AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO
NEAR 14.1 FEET BY THURSDAY EARLY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD
STAGE BY FRIDAY EVENING.
$$
FLOOD WARNING
Warning Issue Date: 727 PM CST TUE DEC 01 2009
...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES
FOR
THE BIG COLDWATER CREEK NEAR MILTON
* FROM TOMORROW EVENING UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON
* AT 7PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 3.9 FEET
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW EVENING AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO
NEAR 10.9 FEET BY THURSDAY EARLY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD
STAGE BY LATE FRIDAY MORNING.
$$
FLOOD WARNING
Warning Issue Date: 722 PM CST TUE DEC 01 2009
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE YELLOW RIVER AT MILLIGAN
* FROM FRIDAY MORNING UNTIL LATE FRIDAY NIGHT
* AT 7PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 4.0 FEET
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO
NEAR 12.1 FEET BY FRIDAY EARLY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD
STAGE BY FRIDAY BEFORE MIDNIGHT.
$$
FLASH FLOOD WATCH
Warning Issue Date: 318 PM CST TUE DEC 01 2009
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM CST THIS EVENING
THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...
THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR
* PORTIONS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA...INCLUDING THE
FOLLOWING AREAS...IN ALABAMA...BUTLER...CONECUH...COVINGTON...
CRENSHAW...ESCAMBIA...LOWER BALDWIN...LOWER MOBILE...MONROE...
UPPER BALDWIN AND UPPER MOBILE. IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA...COASTAL
ESCAMBIA...COASTAL OKALOOSA...COASTAL SANTA ROSA...INLAND
ESCAMBIA...INLAND OKALOOSA AND INLAND SANTA ROSA.
* FROM 6 PM CST THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING
* A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING ONSHORE OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF
COAST OVERNIGHT...ALONG WITH A NORTHWARD MOVING WARM FRONT...WILL
RESULT IN PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN THROUGH THE NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY
MORNING. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED IN MOST
AREAS WITH BANDS OF 5 TO 8 INCHES POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY SOUTHEAST
OF A MOBILE TO GREENVILLE LINE.
* LOW PLACES IN AREA ROADS WILL MOST CERTAINLY HAVE STANDING
WATER IF NOT FLOWING WATER OVERNIGHT. THE PLACES THAT NORMALLY
SUFFER FROM POOR DRAINAGE WILL LIKELY HAVE DRAINAGE PROBLEMS
AS WELL.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.
YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.
$$
COASTAL FLOOD WARNING
Warning Issue Date: 1254 PM CST TUE DEC 01 2009
...A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTAL AREAS
OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE TONIGHT
THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
.A STRONG SOUTHERLY WIND FLOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP EARLY TONIGHT
AND CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING IN ADVANCE OF A DEEPENING AREA
OF LOW PRESSURE APPROACHING FROM THE SOUTHWEST. AS A RESULT WATERS
LEVELS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST WILL BEGIN TO RISE STEADILY THIS
EVENING ESPECIALLY BEFORE ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDE WHICH IS PREDICATED TO
OCCUR DURING THE EVENING HOURS FOR MOST AREAS ALONG THE ALABAMA AND
NORTHWEST FLORIDA COAST. TOTAL TIDAL HEIGHTS OF 3 TO 5 FEET WILL
BE LIKELY FROM PENSACOLA TO PASCAGOULA AND FROM 2 TO 3 FEET FROM
DESTIN TO EAST OF PENSACOLA.
ALZ063-064-FLZ002-004-006-020315-
/O.CON.KMOB.CF.W.0003.091202T0000Z-091202T1500Z/
LOWER MOBILE-LOWER BALDWIN-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-COASTAL SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL OKALOOSA-
1254 PM CST TUE DEC 1 2009
...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING
TO 9 AM CST WEDNESDAY...
A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING
TO 9 AM CST WEDNESDAY.
SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 30 MPH...WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS POSSIBLY AROUND 40 MPH OVERNIGHT TONIGHT...BECOMING SOUTH
THEN SOUTHWESTERLY BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDES
BETWEEN 1 AND 1.8 FEET ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR THIS EVENING.
CONSIDERING THIS AND THE STRONG ONSHORE WIND FLOW...TOTAL TIDE
HEIGHTS COULD RANGE FROM 3 TO 4 FEET WITH A FEW AREAS POSSIBLY
EXPERIENCING NEAR 5 FEET WEST OF PENSACOLA . TOTAL TIDE HEIGHTS
FURTHER TO THE EAST...GENERALLY FROM NAVARRE BEACH TO DESTIN...
COULD RANGE FROM 2 TO 3 FEET.
THESE TIDES WILL LIKELY CAUSE INUNDATION OVER THE WEST END OF
DAUPHIN ISLAND...AROUND THE WESTERN AND NORTHERN SHORES OF MOBILE
BAY THAT ARE PRONE TO COASTAL FLOODING...AND ALONG THE IMMEDIATE
COAST FROM FORT MORGAN ALABAMA TO FORT PICKENS FLORIDA TUESDAY
NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. IN ADDITION TO THE HIGH WATER LEVELS...A
LARGE POUNDING SURF WITH BREAKING WAVES OF 10 TO 12 FEET WILL BE
LIKELY FROM DESTIN FLORIDA TO FT MORGAN ALABAMA.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR
IMMINENT. COASTAL RESIDENTS IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD BE ALERT
FOR RISING WATER...AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY.
$$
WIND ADVISORY
Warning Issue Date: 316 PM CST TUE DEC 01 2009
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON CST
WEDNESDAY...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON CST
WEDNESDAY.
A STRENGTHENING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE WESTERN GULF WILL MOVE
NORTHEAST TOWARD THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF COAST TONIGHT. AS THE LOW
APPROACHES...WINDS WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE REGION...ESPECIALLY ALONG
AND TO THE EAST OF THE LOW TRACK. SUSTAINED WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15
TO 25 MPH TONIGHT WITH FREQUENT GUSTS TO NEAR 40 MPH ALONG THE COAST
AND NEAR 30 MPH INLAND. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE BY LATE
WEDNESDAY MORNING AS THE LOW MOVES QUICKLY NORTHEAST...BUT BREEZY
CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25
TO 39 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING
DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.
IN ADDITION...IT IS ALSO A GOOD IDEA TO SECURE ANY LOOSE OUTDOOR
OBJECTS SUCH A TRASH CANS...PATIO FURNITURE...AND HOLIDAY
DECORATIONS.
$$
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