HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
Issue Date: 1256 PM CST TUE DEC 15 2009
Expiration: 500 AM CST WED DEC 16 2009
THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
FIRE WEATHER DANGER.
RISK...LIMITED...SPREADINDEX=35.
AREA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...MID AFTERNOON.
DISCUSSION...
DRY AIR AND NORTH WINDS OF 10 TO 15 MILES AN HOUR WILL
BRING THE SPREAD INDEX CLOSE TO 35 FOR A FEW HOURS THIS
AFTERNOON IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA. WINDS WILL DIMINISH
BY SUNSET.
SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDS.
THURSDAY...NO HAZARDS.
FRIDAY...WINTER WEATHER POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY...WINTER WEATHER POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...NO HAZARDS.
MONDAY...NO HAZARDS.
EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
ALL NUMERICAL MODELS AGREE THAT AN UPPER TROUGH WILL PASS OVER
OUR REGION FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT. MODELS DIFFER ON THE AMOUNT
OF MOISTURE THAT WILL BE AVAILABLE...AND THUS IF PRECIPITATION
WILL OR WILL NOT OCCUR. COMPOUNDING THE SITUATION IS THAT
TEMPERATURES WILL BE COLD ENOUGH...ESPECIALLY NORTH...FRIDAY NIGHT
FOR SNOW OR A RAIN SNOW MIX.
THE ONE CERTAINTY IS THAT THIS SITUATION IS UNLIKELY TO RESULT
IN A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER EVENT. THE WORST OUTCOME IS MORE LIKELY
TO BE A NUISANCE WINTER WEATHER EVENT.
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
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