HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK Issue Date: 1025 PM EST TUE DEC 8 2009 Expiration: 1030 PM EST WED DEC 09 2009
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA.
.DAY ONE...TONIGHT
ISOLATED TORNADOES POSSIBLE TONIGHT.
.SYNOPSIS...
A POWERFUL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WAS APPROACHING THE MID MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY THIS EVENING. ITS ASSOCIATED WARM FRONTAL BOUNDARY WAS
MOVING GRADUALLY NORTHWARD THROUGH CENTRAL GEORGIA AND SHOULD
CONTINUE NORTHWARD OVERNIGHT.
.PRIMARY HAZARDS...
THE PRIMARY HAZARDS WILL BE PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN WITH SOME MINOR
FLOODING POSSIBLE MAINLY ACROSS NORTH GEORGIA TONIGHT. STRONG
GUSTY WINDS ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTH GEORGIA MOUNTAINS TONIGHT.
A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH ISOLATED TORNADOES POSSIBLE ACROSS
NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING.
.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO WEDGE ACROSS NORTH GEORGIA...HOWEVER A
WARM FRONT WAS PUSHING GRADUALLY NORTHWARD ACROSS THE STATE. A 70
KT SOUTHWESTERLY LOW LEVEL JET AXIS CROSSING GEORGIA WILL BRING STRONG
WINDS TO THE NORTH GA MOUNTAINS WITH SOUTH WINDS OF 15 TO 30 MPH
WITH HIGHER GUST TO 45 MPH OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS THROUGH TONIGHT.
MOST OF OUR FORECAST AREA SHOULD BE IN OR NEAR THE WARM SECTOR TONIGHT
WITH MODELS SUGGESTING LIMITED BUT SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY (CAPES
GENERALLY 200-800) FOR A FEW SEVERE STORMS TONIGHT. WINDS WITH AN
ISOLATED TORNADO RISK IS THE GREATEST CONCERN GIVEN VERY STRONG
DEEP LAYER AND LOW LEVEL SHEAR. THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAIN WITH
SOME MINOR FLOODING ALSO EXISTS...BUT SHOULD ONLY SEE A TOTAL OF 1
TO 3 INCHES THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY
STRONG SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS BEHIND THIS FRONT WILL CONTINUE INTO
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON OVER THE NORTH GEORGIA MOUNTAINS...OTHERWISE NO
HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTERS SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR ACTIVATION DURING THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS ACROSS NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA.
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