SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
Issue Date: 500 AM EST MON NOV 30 2009
Expiration: 700 PM EST TUE NOV 30 2010
...POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE STORMS AND COASTAL HAZARDS WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH
THURSDAY...
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE WESTERN
GULF OF MEXICO ON TUESDAY. THIS LOW IS THEN EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY
AS IT MOVES NORTHEAST TOWARD THE NORTHERN GULF COAST TUESDAY NIGHT
AND INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES ON WEDNESDAY...THEN UP TOWARDS THE
MID ATLANTIC COAST WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. AHEAD OF THE LOW
AN INCREASING MOIST SOUTHERLY WIND FLOW WILL DEVELOP OVER WEST
CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA DURING WEDNESDAY. THIS INCREASING
SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL HELP TO BUILD SEAS OVER THE ADJACENT GULF
WATERS. THESE BUILDING SEAS WILL GENERATE LARGE BREAKING
WAVES...DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS AND HIGH SURF ALONG AREA BEACHES
WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY WITH ABOVE NORMAL TIDES CAUSING SOME
COASTAL FLOODING AT TIMES OF HIGH TIDE.
THE STRONG SOUTHERLY WIND FLOW AND INCREASING SEAS WILL MAKE FOR
HAZARDOUS BOATING CONDITIONS OVER THE ADJACENT GULF WATERS...AND
MARINERS...FISHERMEN...AND BOATING ENTHUSIASTS MAY WANT TO POSTPONE
TRIPS INTO THE GULF UNTIL CONDITIONS IMPROVE LATE IN THE WEEK.
AS THE LOW PRESSURE AREA LIFTS NORTHEAST INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES
ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT A TRAILING COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE
WEST. AN INCREASINGLY MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR MASS AHEAD OF THIS
FRONT WILL SET THE STAGE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP
ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT AS IT MOVES TOWARD WEST CENTRAL AND
SOUTHWEST FLORIDA. CURRENT TIMING OF THIS FRONT WOULD BRING
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS INTO THE NATURE COAST BY LATE
WEDNESDAY...WITH THIS ACTIVITY SPREADING SOUTH TOWARD THE TAMPA
BAY AREA BY EARLY TO MID MORNING ON THURSDAY...AND THEN ACROSS
SOUTHWEST FLORIDA THROUGH THE EARLY AFTERNOON.
AT THE CURRENT TIME SUFFICIENT LOW LEVEL MOISTURE COMBINED WITH
STRONG PREFRONTAL CONVERGENCE AND INCREASING WIND SHEAR WITHIN THE
ATMOSPHERE MAY SUPPORT SOME STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS AS THE FRONT
MOVES SOUTH THROUGH THE REGION...ESPECIALLY FROM THE BAY AREA NORTH
THROUGH THE NATURE COAST...WITH THE MAIN HAZARDS BEING DAMAGING
WINDS AND POSSIBLE ISOLATED TORNADOES AND WATERSPOUTS. IN
ADDITION LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND DEADLY LIGHTNING STRIKES WILL
ACCOMPANY THE STORMS.
ALL RESIDENTS AND VISITORS OF WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA
SHOULD REMAIN ALERT TO RAPIDLY CHANGING WEATHER CONDITIONS DURING
WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND EARLY THURSDAY.
STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER
UPDATES ON THIS DEVELOPING WEATHER SITUATION.
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
Issue Date: 443 AM EST MON NOV 30 2009
Expiration: 600 PM EST MON NOV 30 2009
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DEVELOPING IN THE WESTERN GULF WILL LIFT TO
THE NORTHEAST BY WEDNESDAY. THE COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS
SYSTEM WILL PUSH NORTH TO SOUTH THROUGH THE REGION. THUNDERSTORMS
WILL DEVELOP ALONG AND JUST AHEAD OF THE FRONT ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT
AND THURSDAY. IT REMAINS UNCERTAIN ABOUT THE SEVERITY OF THESE
STORMS AT THE MOMENT BUT ENOUGH LOW LEVEL SHEAR WILL BE PRESENT TO
SUPPORT THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME STRONG STORMS AND POSSIBLY AN
ISOLATED TORNADO. REGARDLESS...THUNDERSTORMS WILL PRODUCE STRONG
WINDS...HEAVY RAINFALL AND DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.
RESIDENTS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR UPCOMING FORECASTS AND
STATEMENTS REGARDING THIS POTENTIALLY HAZARDOUS WEATHER SITUATION.
...COASTAL FLOOD IMPACT...
THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DEVELOPING IN THE WESTERN GULF WILL LIFT
TO THE NORTHEAST BY WEDNESDAY. AS THE SYSTEMS MOVES NORTH OF THE
REGION...WINDS AND SEAS WILL INCREASE THROUGH THURSDAY. WITH A
STRONG SOUTHERLY WIND...THERE WILL BE A POTENTIAL FOR COASTAL
FLOODING ESPECIALLY NEAR SOUTH FACING SHORES OR COASTAL AREAS
AROUND LEVY COUNTY. CURRENT FORECASTED TIDES ARE RUNNING 1-3 FT
ABOVE NORMAL VALUES FROM PINELLAS TO LEVY COUNTY ON WEDNESDAY
MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
...RIP CURRENT IMPACT...
THERE WILL BE THE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS...STRONG UNDERTOWS...AND
LARGE BREAKING WAVES ALONG AREA BEACHES MUCH OF THE DAY WEDNESDAY
AND THURSDAY AS SOUTH WINDS AND ABOVE NORMAL TIDES AFFECT
SOUTHWEST FLORIDA. ALWAYS SWIM NEAR A LIFEGUARD...OR PLAN ON OTHER
ACTIVITIES AWAY FROM THE BEACH.
...WIND AND SEA IMPACT...
WINDS AND SEAS ACROSS THE GULF OF MEXICO WILL INCREASE IN RESPONSE
TO THE DEVELOPING STORM SYSTEM. AS WINDS INCREASE TO 25 TO 30
KNOTS IN THE OFF SHORE WATERS AND 15-20 KNOTS IN THE NEAR
SHORE...HAZARDOUS BOATING CONDITIONS WILL BE LIKELY ACROSS THE
GULF WATERS BY TUESDAY NIGHT AND LASTING THROUGH FRIDAY.
THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL CARRY THE POTENTIAL
FOR STRONG WINDS...HEAVY RAINFALL AND DEADLY CLOUD TO WATER
LIGHTNING. CHOPPY OR ROUGH CONDITIONS WILL BE LIKELY NEAR
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY.
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