HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
Issue Date: 600 AM CST SUN NOV 29 2009
Expiration: 600 AM CST MON NOV 30 2009
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA...THE WESTERN
FLORIDA PANHANDLE...AND THE ADJACENT GULF COASTAL WATERS OF ALABAMA
AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
THE FORMATION OF PATCHY FOG IS POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT. OTHERWISE...NO
HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED IN THE NEAR TERM.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
A COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS THE REGION MONDAY
AFTERNOON...STALLING OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF BY TUESDAY. NO
SEVERE WEATHER IS FORECAST ON MONDAY. A MODERATE OFFSHORE FLOW AND A
BUILDING TREND IN SEAS IS EXPECTED OVER THE COASTAL WATERS LATE
MONDAY IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONTAL PASSAGE.
ON TUESDAY...LOW PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO FORM OVER THE NORTHWESTERN
GULF ALONG THE STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY. THE FORECAST CALLS FOR THE
LOW TO STRENGTHEN WHILE TRACKING NORTHEAST ACROSS SOUTHEAST
LOUISIANA...MOVING INLAND OVER SOUTHWEST ALABAMA LATE TUESDAY INTO
WEDNESDAY MORNING. GIVEN THIS TRACK...RAIN CHANCES WILL CONTINUE TO
INCREASE WITH EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS NEAR THE COAST AND OFFSHORE
LATE TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY. SOME OF THE RAINS COULD BE
HEAVY...PRODUCING LOCALIZED FLOODING IN POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. OVER
THE MARINE AREA...CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO WORSEN WITH WINDS
INCREASING TO 20 TO 30 KNOTS ALONG WITH OCCASIONAL HIGHER GUSTS. THE
DURATION OF A STRONG EASTERLY AND THEN SOUTHERLY FETCH RESULTS IN
SEAS BUILDING TO AROUND 7 FEET NEAR SHORE...UPWARDS TO AROUND 10
FEET WELL OFFSHORE. THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK THAT SOME OF THE STORMS
OFFSHORE AND ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST COULD BECOME SEVERE WITH
ISOLATED TORNADOES TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING.
ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDES ARE FORECAST AS WINDS INCREASE AND TAKE ON A
SOUTHERLY COMPONENT AT 25 TO 30 MPH TUESDAY NIGHT. THE RESULT IS AN
INCREASED POTENTIAL OF WATER PILE UP OVER COASTAL INLAND WATERWAYS.
THUS...THERE IS AN INCREASED RISK OF MINOR COASTAL FLOODING LATE
TUESDAY...ESPECIALLY OVER THE WEST END OF DAUPHIN ISLAND...AROUND
THE WESTERN SHORES OF MOBILE BAY...AND ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST
FROM FORT MORGAN TO FORT PICKENS.
STAY TUNED FOR ADDITIONAL FORECASTS AND UPDATES FROM THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE ON THE DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TO IMPACT THE
AREA MID WEEK.
IN THE WAKE OF THE LOW...HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS OVER THE COASTAL
WATERS LOOK TO CONTINUE TO CLOSE OUT THE WEEK...WITH A MODERATE
OFFSHORE FLOW AND MODERATE SEAS THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT FOR SEVERE
WEATHER WILL NOT BE REQUIRED THROUGH MONDAY.
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