HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
Issue Date: 728 PM EST TUE DEC 1 2009
Expiration: 700 AM EST WED DEC 02 2009
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.
.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.
...WIND AND SEA IMPACT...
LIGHT ONSHORE WINDS THIS EVENING ARE FORECAST TO BECOME SOUTHEAST
AND INCREASE TO BETWEEN 15 AND 20 KNOTS LATE TONIGHT IN RESPONSE
TO A STRENGTHENING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE CENTRAL GULF OF
MEXICO. SMALL CRAFT WILL NEED TO EXERCISE CAUTION NEAR SHORE LATE
TONIGHT...AND A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL BE IN EFFECT OFFSHORE
BEYOND 20 NAUTICAL MILES AFTER 4 AM.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
...POTENTIAL FOR STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS LATE WEDNESDAY INTO
WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
MODEL GUIDANCE CONTINUES REMAINS IN AGREEMENT THAT A LINE OF
SEVERE STORMS WILL IMPACT NORTH FLORIDA ON WEDNESDAY...AND THIS
LINE IS EXPECTED AFFECT EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.
WHILE THE PARAMETERS THAT ASSESS THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE AND
TORNADIC STORMS ARE FORECAST TO BE STRONGEST ACROSS NORTH FLORIDA
...IT APPEARS AS THERE WILL BE SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY...STRONG LOW
AND MID LEVEL WINDS...AND SUFFICIENT WIND SHEAR VALUES...FOR THIS
LINE TO MAINTAIN MUCH OF ITS INTENSITY AS IT REACHES EAST CENTRAL
FLORIDA.
THE GREATEST THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER...AS OUTLINED BY THE STORM
PREDICTION CENTER...IS ALONG AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM LAKE KISSIMMEE
TO JUST NORTH OF CAPE CANAVERAL...OR FROM CENTRAL OSCEOLA COUNTY
AND NORTHERN BREVARD COUNTY NORTHWARD. HOWEVER THE POTENTIAL FOR
SEVERE STORMS OR TORNADOES INCLUDES ALL OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.
WHILE THE EXACT TIMING REMAINS A LITTLE UNCERTAIN...AT THIS TIME
THE LINE IS EXPECTED TO REACH NORTHERN LAKE AND VOLUSIA COUNTIES
SOMETIME AFTER SUNSET...BETWEEN 8 PM AND MIDNIGHT. HOWEVER...A FEW
STORMS OR BANDS OF STORMS MAY FORM OUT AHEAD OF THE MAIN SQUALL
LINE AROUND...OR A LITTLE BEFORE SUNSET.
THE LINE WILL THEN SWEEP SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE INTERSTATE FOUR
CORRIDOR FROM LATE EVENING INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS...AND THEN
PERHAPS WEAKEN AS IT CROSSES THE REMAINDER OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA
DURING THE PRE-DAWN HOURS.
LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCIES...EMERGENCY MANAGERS AND STORM SPOTTERS
SHOULD MONITOR THIS SITUATION AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD
SEVERE WEATHER APPROACH YOUR AREA.
MARINE INTERESTS SHOULD REMAIN AWARE OF THE RISK OF HIGH WINDS AND
ROUGH SEAS ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING STORMS AND BE PREPARED
TO SEEK SAFE HARBOR.
STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...COMMERCIAL TELEVISION OR RADIO
STATIONS...OR YOUR CABLE TELEVISION PROVIDER FOR LATER STATEMENTS
CONCERNING THIS SEVERE WEATHER EVENT.
NOW IS A GOOD TIME TO CHECK AND MAKE SURE YOUR NOAA WEATHER RADIO
HAS A FRESH BATTERY AND IS IN GOOD WORKING ORDER.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY...BUT WILL VERY
LIKELY BE NEEDED LATE WEDNESDAY OR WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
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