HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
Issue Date: 130 PM CST SAT NOV 28 2009
Expiration: 600 AM CST SUN NOV 29 2009
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA...THE WESTERN
FLORIDA PANHANDLE...AND THE ADJACENT GULF COASTAL WATERS OF ALABAMA
AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA.
.DAY ONE...REST OF TODAY AND SUNDAY.
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
A COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS THE REGION MONDAY AFTERNOON
STALLING OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF BY TUESDAY. THE COLD FRONT
WILL BRING AN INCREASED CHANCE OF RAIN WITH A CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS ON MONDAY. NO SEVERE WEATHER IS FORECAST ON MONDAY. A
STRONG OFFSHORE FLOW AND A BUILDING TREND IN SEAS IS EXPECTED OVER
THE COASTAL WATERS LATE MONDAY IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONTAL PASSAGE.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES MAY BE REQUIRED ON MONDAY.
ON TUESDAY...LOW PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO FORM OVER THE NORTHWESTERN
GULF ALONG THE STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY. THERE REMAIN UNCERTAINTIES
IN THE EXACT TRACK OF THE LOW THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK AS
SOME WEATHER MODELS WANT TO BRING THE LOW NORTHEAST OVER LOUISIANA
AND UP ACROSS THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER DELTA...WHILE OTHERS BRING
THE SYSTEM NORTHEAST NEAR MOBILE AND PENSACOLA EARLY ON WEDNESDAY.
CURRENTLY...THE FORECAST CALLS FOR THE LOW TO TRACK ACROSS SOUTHEAST
LOUISIANA...MOVING INLAND OVER SOUTHWEST ALABAMA EARLY WEDNESDAY.
GIVEN THIS TRACK...RAIN CHANCES WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE WITH
EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS NEAR THE COAST AND OFFSHORE LATE TUESDAY INTO
WEDNESDAY. SOME OF THE RAINS COULD BE HEAVY PRODUCING LOCALIZED
FLOODING IN POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. THERE IS ALSO A SLIGHT RISK THAT
SOME OF THE STORMS OFFSHORE AND ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST COULD
BECOME SEVERE WITH ISOLATED TORNADOES TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY
MORNING.
IF THE LOW MOVES NORTHEAST ACROSS LOUISIANA INTO SOUTHWEST ALABAMA
AS CURRENTLY FORECASTED...MINOR COASTAL FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE ON
THE WEST END OF DAUPHIN ISLAND...AROUND THE WESTERN SHORES OF MOBILE
BAY...AND ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST FROM FORT MORGAN TO FORT PICKENS
TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS THE WINDS INCREASE AND BECOME
SOUTHEAST AT 25 TO 30 MPH. ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDE WILL BE DURING
THE EVENING HOURS ON TUESDAY.
AS THE EVENT DRAWS CLOSER IN TIME...MORE SPECIFIC DETAILS WILL
BECOME AVAILABLE. STAY TUNED FOR ADDITIONAL FORECASTS AND UPDATES
FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.
IN THE WAKE OF THE LOW...HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS OVER THE COASTAL
WATERS LOOK TO CONTINUE TO CLOSE OUT THE WEEK...WITH A MODERATE
OFFSHORE FLOW AND MODERATE SEAS THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT FOR SEVERE
WEATHER WILL NOT BE REQUIRED THIS WEEKEND.
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