HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
Issue Date: 650 PM CST WED DEC 16 2009
Expiration: 700 PM CST THU DEC 17 2009
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...THE COASTAL WATERS OF ALABAMA AND
NORTHWEST FLORIDA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.
.DAY ONE...TONIGHT
SEVERAL AREA RIVERS WILL CONTINUE TO EXPERIENCE FLOODING...SOME OF
WHICH EXPERIENCING MODERATE FLOODING PROBLEMS. FOR THE VERY LATEST
RIVER STAGES AND FORECASTS IN THE WFO MOBILE HYDROLOGIC SERVICE
AREA...REFER TO THE ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC PREDICTION SERVICES
WEBPAGE.
MODERATE TO STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS WILL MAKE FOR
HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL MARINE CRAFT TONIGHT.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY
HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL MARINE CRAFT ARE FORECAST TO PERSIST
THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING DUE TO HIGH SEAS AND STRONG WINDS. SEE THE
LATEST COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SPECIFIC DETAILS ON WIND
DIRECTION...SPEED AND SEAS AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES NORTHEAST
OVER THE NORTHERN GULF.
AS WESTERN GULF LOW MOVES EAST NORTHEAST ACROSS THE NORTH CENTRAL
GULF LATE THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...RAINS WILL ONCE AGAIN OVERSPREAD THE
REGION. CONSIDERING THAT SEVERAL AREAS HAVE ALREADY SEEN UPWARDS OF
A FOOT TO A FOOT AND A HALF OF RAINFALL SINCE THE BEGINNING OF THE
MONTH...ADDITIONAL RAINS...LOCALLY HEAVY AT TIMES...WILL LIKELY
RESULT IN RUNOFF AND ADDITIONAL FLOODING PROBLEMS. THE LATEST
OFFICIAL FORECAST CALLS FOR NEARLY 2 INCHES OF RAIN TO OCCUR MAINLY
OVER THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND INTO THE COASTAL WATERS.
HOWEVER...AN ASSESSMENT OF THE LATEST GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT THE
AXIS OF HEAVY RAINFALL MAY SHIFT A LITTLE MORE TO THE NORTH ON LATER
FORECASTS. THIS WILL LIKELY RESULT IN AREA RIVER STAGES THAT ARE
SLOWER TO RECEDE. THERE REMAINS QUITE A BIT OF UNCERTAINTY AS TO
HOW MUCH RAIN WILL OCCUR AND WHERE THE AXIS OF HEAVIEST RAIN SETS
UP. SOME WEATHER MODELS ARE SHOWING HEAVIER RAIN TOTALS THAN OTHERS.
STAY TUNED.
LATER IN THE WEEKEND AND INTO THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK...COLDER
CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO IMPACT THE SOUTHERN STATES. A FREEZE IS
POSSIBLE MAINLY NORTH OF THE COAST...SUNDAY...MONDAY AND TUESDAY
MORNINGS. MINIMUM TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM THE MID TO
UPPER 20S OVER INTERIOR LOCATIONS TO THE LOWER TO MID 30S ALONG THE
COAST.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
CONTINUED ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT IS
REQUESTED DUE TO THE WIDESPREAD NATURE OF ONGOING RIVER FLOODING.
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