HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK Issue Date: 500 AM CST MON DEC 21 2009 Expiration: 500 AM CST TUE DEC 22 2009
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL
NORTH DAKOTA...NORTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA...SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH
DAKOTA...SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL
NORTH DAKOTA TODAY AND TONIGHT. THIS WILL BRING LIGHT SNOW TO THE
FORECAST AREA WITH SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS RANGING BETWEEN 1 AND 2
INCHES TODAY AND ANOTHER 1 TO 2 INCHES TONIGHT. TOTAL SNOWFALL
ACCUMULATIONS MONDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING WILL RANGE
FROM 2 TO 4 INCHES ACROSS SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH
DAKOTA...WITH LIGHTER AMOUNTS AVERAGING 1 TO 3 INCHES FURTHER NORTH.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY
OCCASIONAL LIGHT SNOW WILL CONTINUE TUESDAY INTO TUESDAY NIGHT
WITH PERHAPS AN ADDITIONAL INCH OR TWO DURING THIS TIME. ANOTHER
STORM SYSTEM WILL LIKELY AFFECT PORTIONS OF WESTERN NORTH DAKOTA
WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. THIS STORM SYSTEM COULD BE SIGNIFICANT
IN TERMS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW AMOUNTS. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
GRADUALLY INCREASE THROUGH THE EVENT...SO NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS
ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY IN THE EXACT
TRACK OF THE STORM...WHICH WILL IMPACT HOW MUCH SNOW MAY FALL
ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA. THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS SITUATION CLOSELY. PLEASE
TUNE TO LOCAL MEDIA OR WWW.WEATHER.GOV FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION
REGARDING THIS POTENTIAL STORM.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT Issue Date: 405 AM CST MON DEC 21 2009 Expiration: 415 PM CST MON DEC 21 2009
...POSSIBLE SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM TO IMPACT WESTERN AND
CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA WEDNESDAY THROUGH CHRISTMAS DAY...
PRIOR TO THE POTENTIAL WINTER STORM FOR CHRISTMAS...2 TO 4 INCHES
OF SNOWFALL IS POSSIBLE MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT FROM THE NORTH AND
SOUTH UNITS OF THE THEODORE ROOSEVELT NATIONAL PARK...THROUGH
DICKINSON...HETTINGER...FORT YATES AND LINTON. 1 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW
IS FORECAST ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH
DAKOTA BY TUESDAY MORNING...WITH THE LOWEST ACCUMULATIONS NORTH OF
A LINE FROM CROSBY TO JAMESTOWN.
REGARDING THE POTENTIAL WINTER STORM...COMPUTER MODELS ARE LARGELY IN
AGREEMENT THAT A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP IN
THE FAR SOUTHERN PLAINS ON TUESDAY NIGHT AND SLOWLY PUSH INTO THE
UPPER MIDWEST BY CHRISTMAS MORNING. WHILE UNCERTAINTY REMAINS WITH
RESPECT TO SPECIFIC IMPACTS OF THIS STORM SYSTEM...THERE ARE TWO
CHARACTERISTICS THAT ARE OF CONCERN. FIRST...THE VAST SIZE OF THE
STORM. THERE IS THE POSSIBILITY THAT WINTER WEATHER COULD EXTEND
FROM THE GREAT LAKES ALL THE WAY WEST INTO THE NORTHERN HIGH
PLAINS. SECOND...THE SLOW MOVEMENT OF THE STORM. WITH A STRONG LOW
THAT MOVES SLOWLY...THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR HAZARDOUS WINTER
WEATHER TO BE PROLONGED FOR A COUPLE OF DAYS. THE HIGH VOLUME OF
HOLIDAY TRAVEL WILL FURTHER COMPLICATE THINGS.
AT PRESENT...IT APPEARS THAT MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW ACCUMULATIONS
ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS A PORTION OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH
DAKOTA. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY INCREASE THROUGH THE
EVENT...SO NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THERE IS
STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY IN THE EXACT TRACK OF THE STORM...WHICH
WILL IMPACT HOW MUCH SNOW MAY FALL ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL
NORTH DAKOTA. THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE TO
MONITOR THIS SITUATION CLOSELY. PLEASE TUNE TO LOCAL MEDIA OR
WWW.WEATHER.GOV FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION REGARDING THIS
POTENTIAL STORM.
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