HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
Issue Date: 630 AM CST TUE DEC 15 2009
Expiration: 600 AM CST WED DEC 16 2009
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA...SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI AND THE COASTAL WATERS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA
.DAY ONE...TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT
SOME AREA RIVERS ARE EXPERIENCING MODERATE TO MAJOR FLOODING. MURDER
CREEK AT BREWTON AND BIG ESCAMBIA CREEK AT FLOMATON ARE EXPERIENCING
MODERATE FLOODING WHILE BURNT CORN CREEK...MAJOR FLOODING. THE
LATTER IS CRESTING AND MAY BEGIN A SLOW FALL LATER TODAY. THIS IS A
LIFE THREATENING SITUATION. AS ALWAYS...SEEK HIGHER GROUND AND YOU
ARE ADVISED TO NOT DRIVE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROADS!
OTHERWISE...WIDESPREAD INUNDATION FLOODING...WITH EMBEDDED FLASH
FLOODING...WILL CONTINUE ACROSS PORTIONS OF INTERIOR SOUTHEASTERN
MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA THROUGH LATE TODAY WHEN THE
RAINS WILL GRADUALLY COME TO AN END FROM THE NORTHWEST.
LATEST RADAR AND SATELLITE TRENDS SHOWED AN APPROACHING AREA OF
MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN THAT WILL MOVE INTO AND THROUGH INTERIOR
SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI THIS MORNING. THIS AREA IS UNDER A FLASH FLOOD
WARNING.
ANOTHER AREA OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINS WAS OBSERVED MOVING ACROSS
INLAND PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA...NORTH OF A
LINE FROM FROM JACKSON TO ATMORE TO ANDALUSIA. ADDITIONAL HEAVY
RAINS FROM CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI WILL MOVE EASTWARD INTO THESE AREAS
LATER THIS MORNING...MAINLY NORTH OF HIGHWAY 84. ADDITIONAL FLASH
FLOOD WARNINGS ARE LIKELY FOR THESE AREAS.
BY LATE MORNING...A DEVELOPING THIRD ROUND OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL
INCREASE IN INTENSITY...SO DO NOT LET TEMPORARY DECREASES IN
COVERAGE FOOL YOU. THIS IS A VERY SERIOUS SITUATION. IT WOULD NOT
TAKE MUCH TO CREATE CONDITIONS THAT COULD MIMIC THE VERY EXTENSIVE
AND DEVASTATING FLASH FLOODING THAT OCCURRED OVER PORTIONS OF
NORTHERN BALDWIN AND ESCAMBIA COUNTIES OF ALABAMA LAST EVENING. ONE
TO TWO INCH PER HOUR RAINFALL RATES WOULD YIELD THE REPEAT...IF
FOCUSED PROPERLY.
HEAVY RAINFALL WILL END FROM THE NORTHWEST DURING THE COURSE OF THE
AFTERNOON.
A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MAY BE ISSUED FROM EARLY EVENING ON FOR
NORTHERLY WINDS INCREASING BEHIND A COLD FRONT INTO THE 20 TO 25
KNOT RANGE WITH HIGHER GUSTS LATE.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY
A DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE WESTERN GULF ON THURSDAY
WILL CAUSE MORE RAIN TO MOVE BACK INTO THE REGION FROM LATE THURSDAY
THROUGH AT LEAST THE FIRST HALF OF FRIDAY. DEPENDING ON EXACTLY HOW
MUCH RAINFALL SETS UP...AND WHERE...THIS COULD EXACERBATE REGIONAL
FLOODING PROBLEMS FROM EARLIER IN THE WEEK. SOME MODELS INDICATE
THAT UP
A FREEZE IS POSSIBLE ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA ON BOTH SUNDAY AND
MONDAY MORNINGS. MONDAY WILL BE THE COLDEST OF TWO MORNINGS WITH
MINIMUM TEMPERATURES RANGING FROM THE MID 20S IN THE INTERIOR TO
AROUND 30 DEGREES ALONG THE COAST.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
CONTINUED ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT IS
REQUESTED DUE TO THE RATHER WIDESPREAD NATURE OF THE ONGOING FLOOD
SITUATION.
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