HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
Issue Date: 642 AM CST TUE DEC 15 2009
Expiration: 600 AM CST WED DEC 16 2009
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA...SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI AND THE COASTAL WATERS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA
.DAY ONE...TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT
SOME AREA RIVERS ARE EXPERIENCING MODERATE TO MAJOR FLOODING. MURDER
CREEK IS NOW AT MAJOR FLOOD. SEVERE FLOODING WILL OCCUR IN BREWTON
AS HISTORICAL VALUES ARE BEING APPROACHED AND ECLIPSED. BREWTON AND
BIG ESCAMBIA CREEK AT FLOMATON ARE EXPERIENCING MODERATE FLOODING
WHILE BURNT CORN CREEK...MAJOR FLOODING. THE LATTER IS CRESTING AND
MAY BEGIN A SLOW FALL LATER TODAY. THIS IS A LIFE THREATENING
SITUATION. AS ALWAYS...SEEK HIGHER GROUND AND YOU ARE ADVISED TO NOT
DRIVE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROADS!
OTHERWISE...EMBEDDED FLASH FLOODING WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION
UNTIL LATER TODAY WHEN THE RAINS WILL GRADUALLY COME TO AN END FROM
THE NORTHWEST AS A COLD FRONT PASSES.
LATEST SATELLITE AND RADAR TRENDS CONTINUE TO INDICATE SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS REPEATEDLY MOVING NORTHEASTWARD OUT OF LOUISIANA INTO
SOUTHWEST ALABAMA. ALSO...AN AREA OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINS WAS
MOVING ACROSS INLAND PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL
ALABAMA...NORTH AND EAST OF A LINE FROM CAMDEN TO MONROEVILLE TO
ANADALUSIA. ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINS MOVING OUT OF EAST CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI WILL MOVE EASTWARD INTO THESE AREAS LATER THIS
MORNING...MAINLY NORTH OF A LINE FROM RICHTON TO MCINTOSH TO
CASTLEBERRY TO ANADALUSIA. ADDITIONAL FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS ARE
LIKELY FOR THESE AREAS.
BY LATE MORNING...A DEVELOPING THIRD ROUND OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL
INCREASE IN INTENSITY AS THE ATMOSPHERE DESTABILIZES IN THE HEAT OF
THE DAY...SO DO NOT LET TEMPORARY DECREASES IN COVERAGE FOOL YOU.
SOME STORMS MAY PRODUCE WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 TO 50 MPH BUT HAIL AND
TORNADOES ARE NOT PREFERRED IN THIS ENVIRONMENT.
THIS IS STILL A VERY SERIOUS SITUATION WHICH IS WHY OUR REGION
REMAINS UNDER A FLOOD WATCH. ONE TO TWO INCH PER HOUR RAINFALL RATES
WILL QUICKLY BEGIN FLASH FLOODING.
A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MAY BE ISSUED FROM EARLY EVENING ON FOR
NORTHERLY WINDS INCREASING BEHIND A COLD FRONT INTO THE 20 TO 25
KNOT RANGE WITH HIGHER GUSTS LATE.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY
A DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE WESTERN GULF ON THURSDAY
WILL CAUSE MORE RAIN TO MOVE BACK INTO THE REGION FROM LATE THURSDAY
THROUGH AT LEAST THE FIRST HALF OF FRIDAY. DEPENDING ON EXACTLY HOW
MUCH RAINFALL SETS UP...AND WHERE...THIS COULD EXACERBATE REGIONAL
FLOODING PROBLEMS FROM EARLIER IN THE WEEK. SOME MODELS INDICATE
THAT UP
A FREEZE IS POSSIBLE ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA ON BOTH SUNDAY AND
MONDAY MORNINGS. MONDAY WILL BE THE COLDEST OF TWO MORNINGS WITH
MINIMUM TEMPERATURES RANGING FROM THE MID 20S IN THE INTERIOR TO
AROUND 30 DEGREES ALONG THE COAST.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
CONTINUED ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT IS
REQUESTED DUE TO THE RATHER WIDESPREAD NATURE OF THE ONGOING FLOOD
SITUATION.
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