HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
Issue Date: 1101 AM CST TUE DEC 1 2009
Expiration: 1100 AM CST WED DEC 02 2009
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA...THE WESTERN
FLORIDA PANHANDLE...AND THE ADJACENT GULF COASTAL WATERS OF ALABAMA
AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DEVELOPING OVER THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO
WILL MOVE NORTHEAST TODAY AND CROSS THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF COAST
LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY. THIS STRENGTHENING WEATHER SYSTEM
WILL BRING A VARIETY OF HAZARDS TO THE REGION.
WITH THE LOW FORECAST TO TRACK TO THE WEST OF THE LOCAL AREA...WARM
MOIST AIR WILL BEGIN TO MOVE NORTH TONIGHT...CREATING AN
INCREASINGLY UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR A FEW OF THE
STORMS TO BECOME SEVERE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA...
PRIMARILY SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 84 AND FURTHER SOUTH TOWARD THE COAST.
THE BEST THREAT WILL EXISTS CLOSER TO THE COASTLINE WHERE A GREATER
AMOUNT OF INSTABILITY WILL BE ABLE TO DEVELOP. THERE WILL BE A RISK
OF AN ISOLATED TORNADO AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WITH ANY SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM THAT DEVELOPS.
THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR VERY HEAVY RAINFALL...ESPECIALLY ALONG
AND SOUTHEAST OF INTERSTATE 65. MOST LOCATIONS WILL SEE RAINFALL
TOTALS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES WITH BANDS OF 5 TO 8 INCHES POSSIBLE
SOUTHEAST OF A MOBILE TO GREENVILLE LINE OVERNIGHT. A FLASH FLOOD
WATCH WILL BE IN EFFECT TONIGHT.
WINDS WILL INCREASE TONIGHT AS THE SURFACE LOW APPROACHES. WINDS
COULD GUST AS HIGH AS 40 MPH ALONG THE COAST WITH GUSTS OF 30 MPH
POSSIBLE FURTHER INLAND. AS WINDS TURN MORE SOUTHERLY...THE THREAT
OF COASTAL FLOODING WILL INCREASE...ESPECIALLY AS ASTRONOMICAL HIGH
TIDE OCCURS LATE TONIGHT. TOTAL TIDE HEIGHTS OF 3 TO 5 FEET ARE
EXPECTED WEST OF PENSACOLA. TOTAL TIDE HEIGHTS EAST OF PENSACOLA TO
DESTIN SHOULD RANGE FROM 2 TO 3 FEET. A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IS IN
EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING UNTIL 9 AM WEDNESDAY. IN ADDITION TO
THE HIGH WATER LEVELS...A LARGE POUNDING SURF WITH BREAKING WAVES OF
10 TO 12 FEET WILL OCCUR TONIGHT FROM ROUGHLY GULF SHORES EAST TO
DESTIN.
HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE FOR SMALL CRAFT. WINDS WILL
INCREASE TO NEAR GALE FORCE OVER THE MARINE AREA BY LATE AFTERNOON
OR EARLY EVENING...CONTINUING OVERNIGHT. OFFSHORE WAVE HEIGHTS BUILD
TO AROUND 15 FEET THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE OVERNIGHT. A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY CURRENTLY IN EFFECT WILL BE REPLACED BY GALE WARNINGS LATER
TODAY.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
A FEW STRONG OR POSSIBLY SEVERE STORMS MAY BE OCCURRING OVER THE
NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA EARLY
WEDNESDAY...BUT THE WEATHER WILL IMPROVE BY MIDDAY AS THE LOW
QUICKLY MOVES NORTHEAST OF THE REGION.
OVER THE MARINE AREA...THE STRONG WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH
DURING THE DAY WEDNESDAY BUT SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES WILL BE NEEDED
AFTER GALE CONDITIONS EASE ON WEDNESDAY. WAVE HEIGHTS WILL SUBSIDE
BELOW 7 FEET BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON. NORTHERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
INCREASE AGAIN LATER IN THE WEEK...CREATING HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR
SMALL CRAFT AGAIN.
A STRONG HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM BUILDS INTO THE REGION LATER IN THE
WEEK AND BRINGS THE RISK OF FREEZING TEMPERATURES BOTH FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY MORNINGS.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT FOR SEVERE
WEATHER MAY BE REQUIRED TONIGHT TRHOUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY.
|
|
|
