HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
Issue Date: 1226 PM CST THU DEC 24 2009
Expiration: 1000 AM CST FRI DEC 25 2009
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA...NORTHWEST
FLORIDA...AND THE COASTAL WATERS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
A TORNADO WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM FOR ALL OF INLAND SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI...AS WELL AS CHOCTAW...WASHINGTON...AND MOBILE COUNTIES
IN ALABAMA. A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN ADVANCE OF A COLD FRONT WILL
MOVE INTO SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI BY EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON AND
SOUTHWEST ALABAMA BY LATE AFTERNOON. THE LINE WILL AFFECT THE
WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE DURING THE EARLY EVENING. THERE WILL BE
SUFFICIENT WIND ENERGY IN THE ATMOSPHERE TO PRODUCE SEVERE
WEATHER...BUT THE THREAT WILL BE SOMEWHAT MITIGATED BY WEAK
INSTABILITY. HOWEVER...GIVEN THE STRONG FORCING ASSOCIATED WITH THE
FRONT...ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG
THE LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS. THE THREAT FOR STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS
WILL END BY MID TO LATE EVENING AS THE COLD FRONT SWEEPS EAST OF THE
REGION.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA
THROUGH THIS EVENING. SOME PONDING OF WATER IN LOW LYING AND POOR
DRAINAGE AREAS IS LIKELY TO OCCUR...BUT THE THREAT FOR FLASH
FLOODING APPEARS LOW AT THIS TIME.
A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE AREA UNTIL 9 PM TONIGHT.
EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 20 TO OCCASIONALLY 30 MPH WITH HIGHER
GUST ARE EXPECTED TODAY. WINDS BECOME SOUTHERLY LATER TODAY AND
DIMINISH THIS EVENING TO WESTERLY AT 10 TO 20 MPH AFTER THE FRONT
PASSES.
A GALE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE OFFSHORE WATERS THROUGH 9 PM
TONIGHT. SUSTAINED WINDS WILL APPROACH 30 KNOTS WITH FREQUENT GUSTS
TO GALE FORCE. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR MOBILE
BAY...AND EVEN THERE A FEW GUSTS TO GALE FORCE ARE POSSIBLE.
AREA BEACHES WILL SEE A ROUGH SURF AND A HIGH RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS
TODAY. MINOR COASTAL FLOODING WILL ALSO BE A CONCERN IN THE
TYPICALLY FLOOD PRONE AREAS AS WINDS INCREASE OUT OF THE SOUTH THIS
AFTERNOON.
SOME FLOODING CONTINUES ALONG SEVERAL AREA RIVERS ACROSS THE REGION.
PLEASE SEE THE LATEST RIVER FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...CHRISTMAS DAY THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY
STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 25 KNOTS IN THE WAKE OF THE COLD FRONT
CHRISTMAS MORNING WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH DURING THE DAY AS HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST.
COMPUTER MODEL GUIDANCE IS SHOWING ANOTHER AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
DEVELOPING OVER THE NORTHWESTERN GULF ON TUESDAY...MOVING EAST
ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF BY NEXT WEDNESDAY. IF THIS PATTERN
HOLDS...WINDS AND SEAS WILL INCREASE OVER THE MARINE AREA WITH
ANOTHER ROUND OF RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE ALONG THE NORTH
CENTRAL GULF COAST REGION BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS AND STORM SPOTTERS IS
REQUESTED IN THE SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER.
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