HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
Issue Date: 1015 AM CST TUE DEC 8 2009
Expiration: 1000 AM CST WED DEC 09 2009
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...THE COASTAL WATERS OF ALABAMA AND
NORTHWEST FLORIDA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.
.DAY ONE...REST OF TODAY INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING
WIDESPREAD RAIN WITH THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE COAST WILL CONTINUE
OVER THE AREA INTO WEDNESDAY. AS A WARM FRONT NEAR THE COAST MOVES
SLOWLY NORTH TODAY...INSTABILITY WILL INCREASE OVER THE AREA...AND
WHEN COMBINED WITH INCREASING UPPER DYNAMICS...AN INCREASE IN THE
RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE POSSIBLE. WITH THE JUXTAPOSITION OF
THE INGREDIENTS FOR SEVERE WEATHER GENERALLY LACKING...THE CHANCE
FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE LOW...WITH A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE
WEATHER ACROSS THE AREA. ALSO...INSTABILITY WITH THE THUNDERSTORMS
WILL BE RATHER LIMITED THROUGH THE PERIOD...HELPING TO LIMIT THE
CHANCE OF ANY THUNDERSTORM FROM BECOMING SEVERE.
IF SEVERE WEATHER DOES OCCUR...ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE WARM
FRONT...DAMAGING WINDS TO 60 MPH AND LARGE HAIL ARE THE MOST LIKELY
THREATS...THOUGH AN ISOLATED TORNADO CAN NOT BE RULED OUT. NORTH OF
THE WARM FRONT...WITH THE BASE OF AND STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
BECOMING DISCONNECTED FROM THE SURFACE...LARGE HAIL IS THE PRIMARY
THREAT.
ALSO...OVERNIGHT RAINFALL TOTALS OVER SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI HAVE
SATURATED THE GROUND OVER THESE AREAS. ANY ADDITION LARGE AMOUNTS OF
ADDITION RAIN MAY CAUSE LOCALIZED NUISANCE FLOODING OVER SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI.
A STRONG ONSHORE FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP OVER THE MARINE AREA
TODAY AS THE WARM FRONT MOVES NORTH. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES ARE IN
EFFECT.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...REST OF WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY
THE STRONG ONSHORE FLOW WILL DIMINISH BY MIDDAY WEDNESDAY AS A COLD
FRONT MOVES THROUGH. HOWEVER...A STRONG OFFSHORE FLOW WILL DEVELOP
BY LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT. STRONG WINDS WILL
PERSIST OVER THE GULF WATERS THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. THESE
WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO POSE A HAZARD TO SMALL CRAFT.
ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP OVER THE WESTERN GULF ON
FRIDAY AND TRACK ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF LATE FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY.
THERE WILL BE THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WITH
THIS SYSTEM...WHICH COULD RESULT IN MINOR FLOODING ISSUES GIVEN THE
SATURATED GROUND CONDITIONS OVER MUCH OF THE AREA.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT MAY BE
NEEDED AT TIMES TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT.
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